Addressing cybersecurity for а complex system, especially for а cyber-physical system of systems (CPSoS), requires a strategic approach during the entire lifecycle of the system. Examples of CPSoS include rail transport systems, power plants, and integrated air-defense capability. All these systems consist of large physical, cyber-physical, and cyber-only subsystems with complex dynamics. In the first blog post in this series, I summarized 12 available threat-modeling methods (TMMs). In this post, I will identify criteria for choosing and evaluating a threat-modeling method (TMM) for a CPSoS.
Almost all software systems today face a variety of threats, and the number of threats grows as technology changes. Malware that exploits software vulnerabilities grew 151 percent in the second quarter of 2018, and cyber-crime damage costs are estimated to reach $6 trillion annually by 2021. Threats can come from outside or within organizations, and they can have devastating consequences. Attacks can disable systems entirely or lead to the leaking of sensitive information, which would diminish consumer trust in the system provider. To prevent threats from taking advantage of system flaws, administrators can use threat-modeling methods to inform defensive measures. In this blog post, I summarize 12 available threat-modeling methods.
According to a report issued by the Government Accountability Office (GAO) in February 2013, the number of cybersecurity incidents reported that could impact "federal and military operations; critical infrastructure; and the confidentiality, integrity, and availability of sensitive government, private sector, and personal information" has increased by 782 percent--from 5,503 in 2006 to 48,562 in 2012. In that report, GAO also stated that while there has been incremental progress in coordinating the federal response to cyber incidents, "challenges remain in sharing information among federal agencies and key private sector entities, including critical infrastructure owners."