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Second Level Domain Usage in 2012 for Common Top Level Domains

Hi, this is Leigh Metcalf with my colleague Jonathan Spring. Here is a look at second level domain (SLD) usage in 2012 for the most common generic Top Level Domains (gTLDs): biz, com, info, mobi, net, and org. We used two data sources: (1)the master zone files (RFC 1035 sec. 5) and (2) the SIE (http://sie.isc.org), a passive DNS data source. From these sources we examined three features of global gTLD usage--the number registered, the number active, and the ratio.

Table 1 shows stats about domains registered in 2012 from zone file analysis. Start and End are the number of SLDs in each zone file at the start and end of 2012, respectively. Max is the largest number of unique SLDs in the zone file we observed on a day throughout the year.

Table 1
TLD Start End Average Date of Max Max
biz 2,175,697 2,276,104 2,240,193.5 2012-11-15 2,281,118
com 99,303,617 106,876,588 103,329,433.9 2012-12-31 106,876,588
info 8,221,272 7,047,407 7,743,564.8 2012-01-31 8,269,131
mobi 1,011,381 1,041,155 1,033,351.4 2012-04-13 1,046,251
net 14,363,672 14,965,672 14,721,459.3 2012-12-31 14,965,672
org 9,666,025 10,166,747 9,983,061.1 2012-12-31 10,166,474

The com, net, and org domains all increased through the year. The biz and mobi domains also showed gains, but not consistently. The info TLD consistently shrunk. However, just because a domain is in a zone file doesn't mean that anyone is actually using it. To determine level of use, we looked at what domains were resolved; for this analysis, we turned to the SIE and measurements of unique active domains per day (0000-2359 UTC) during 2012.
From the SIE database we considered the average number of unique second-level domains resolved per day and the growth rate through the year (see Table 2). This value is bounded by the zone file contents since only domains in the zone file can be resolved; but the value is also is heavily influenced by other factors.

Table 2
TLD Start End Average Growth Rate
biz 80,167 71,257 93,451.8 -11.1%
com 10,284,693 9,287,419 10,990,617 -9.7%
info 326,843 206,897 283,529.1 -36.7%
mobi 8,202 8,858 10,358.8 8%
net 7,763,538 998,950 1,198,016.8 -14.2%
org 1,041,970 941,262 1,130,457.8 -9.7%

Despite of the growth in zone file size, the number of unique SLDs resolved per day decreased. There are spikes in the number, some of which can be attributed to measurement volatility; however, the general trend downward does not seem to be due to measurement error. Especially in the case of the info domain, it is interesting to ask if the large changes in zone file size effected the percentage of domains from the zone that were resolved per day. Figure 1 displays the percentage of domains in the gTLD zone files that were resolved every day during 2012.

domains1.png
Figure 1

These lines are not smooth, due to both natural weekly and daily usage cycles and some other more curious spikes. Using time series analysis, we examined the underlying trend and extracted these cyclical patterns and one-time spikes. Figure 2 illustrates the trend without these factors. Note that the Y axis scale changes from 0-18% to 0-14%. The trend is distinctly downward, with the exception of the mobi domain, which remains approximately constant.

domains2.png
Figure 2

As you can see, despite the increase in the number of domains that are registered in the official registries, the number of SLDs that are active each day has decreased during the course of the year, both in absolute terms and as a percentage of the domains in the zone file. We have not yet determined a causal explanation for this phenomenon, so comments are welcome. Send your comments to netsa-contact@cert.org.

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